Uncertainty

Navigating the Unpredictable in Society, Cognition, and Existence
Lecture Series Department of Economics and Institute of Asian and Oriental Studies
How do we navigate a world with actual and perceived uncertainty? This lecture series invites and sparks exploration of the profound challenges and opportunities posed by uncertainty – not as an anomaly, but as a fundamental aspect of human existence. Bringing together insights from highly diverse fields – ranging from quantum physics and economics to cognitive sciences, aesthetics, and cultural studies – this series examines the multifaceted nature of uncertainty. By leveraging this interdisciplinary richness, we explore how uncertainty influences knowledge, beliefs, and behaviors in an ever-changing world. Viewing uncertainty as a spectrum of possibilities rather than merely a threat, we aim to inspire adaptive strategies for decision-making, resilience, and the pursuit of knowledge. Join us on an exciting journey to rethink the status quo and consider dynamic approaches that align with life’s inherent complexity. Together, we will discover how the uncertain, far from being something to endure or avoid, can drive innovation and deeper understanding.
Program Flyer
Program
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14.5.2025, 16:30: Limits and Applicabilty of Models
Part 1: Joachim M. Buhmann (ETH, Zurich), Mathias Frisch (Leibniz University Hannover), Tarja Knuuttila (University of Vienna) Moderation: Edoardo Peruzzi (Leibniz University Hannover) Part 2: Gerd Gigerenzer (Max-Planck-Institute for Human Development, Berlin), Tom Griffiths (Princeton University, online) Moderation: Christian Ruff (University of Zurich); Ort: Rämistrasse 71, 8006 Zürich; Raum: KOH-B-10
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21.5.2025, 16:30: Managing Uncertainty for Society
Part 1: Marco Steenbergen (University of Zurich), Katharina Michaelowa (University of Zurich), Patrik Aspers (University St. Gallen) Moderation: Manos Tsakiris (Royal Holloway, University of London) Part 2: Nicholas A. Christakis (Yale University), Peter Turchin (Complexity Science Hub, Vienna, online) Moderation: Dirk Helbing (ETH, Zurich); Ort: Rämistrasse 71, 8006 Zürich; Raum: KOH-B-10